The United States is leading a joint North American bid to host the 2026 World Cup. The North American bid — from the U.S., Canada and Mexico — only faces competition from Morocco, which is touting its limited threat from gun crime in its proposal for the soccer showpiece.
The north African nation highlighted safety for visiting fans in bidding documents published by FIFA on Monday that do however show every stadium and training ground requires building work as part of a $15.8 billion as part of a World Cup upgrade.
By contrast, the North American bid book says it is the low-risk proposition for FIFA since no infrastructure will be built for the first World Cup after the jump from 32 to 48 finalists.
Morocco's decision to point to "very low gun circulation" comes amid the growing call for stricter laws regarding firearms in the U.S. following a school shooting in Florida that left 17 dead.
The U.S. is the dominant partner in a North American bid that includes Canada and Mexico. Their bid documents do not reference crime rates or gun issues but stress that the three countries have "long histories of staging safe, peaceful celebrations of international sport."
Morocco also cites an "exceptionally low murder rates" of 3 in 100,000. The latest equivalent figures in North America are: 18.7 in Mexico, 5.3 in the U.S. and 1.68 in Canada.
The decision on the 2026 World Cup host is due at the FIFA Congress in June.
A closer look at the two bids, based on the documents submitted to FIFA:
TICKET PRICES AND SALES
On ticket prices and sales, there is a big difference in the bidders, who projected sales and revenues on a 12-stadium model requested by FIFA. However, the North Americans plan to use 16 stadiums and Morocco 14.
The North American bid predicts 80 sold-out games, generating $1.8 billion in ticket revenue.
Morocco forecasts sold-out stadiums for just the opening game, the semifinals, and the final, with 90 percent attendance across the tournament.
Morocco anticipates FIFA getting $785 million revenue from 3.5 million tickets sold, while North America foresees selling 5.8 million tickets to generate $2.1 billion.
The cheapest tickets for fans visiting Morocco would be $125 for group-stage games, and $590 for the final. Supporters in North America would pay at least $174 for group games, and $695 for the final.
The cheapest "Category 4" tickets just for local residents are predicted to be $27 in Morocco and $21 in North America.
North America said there is "no history of football hooliganism" in the three bidding countries — a declaration that only relates to international games.
Morocco acknowledged issues with "ultra" fans — the term associated with often violent supporters — but said the "issue of football-related violence largely under control at a domestic level."
The North American bid raises the prospect of "heat illness for athletes or visitors" if there are extreme temperatures and humidity. But the bid said it would work with FIFA to ensure stadiums are "adequately prepared and climate-controlled where possible."
Morocco is more strident in assuring that "environmental conditions do not pose any risk to the health of players and visitors" but it does say that water would be provided "in the event of a heat wave."
There might not even be a 2026 World Cup host chosen on June 13 in Moscow.
FIFA has given its 200-plus member federations a clear path in the formal voting procedure to reject both current bids.
On the ballot paper there will be another option: "None of the Bids — Reopen Bidding Process."
If the rejection option wins, a new process lasting months or even years would begin — excluding the United States, Canada, Mexico and Morocco. This would let European and Asian bidders enter a race they are currently barred from because Russia and Qatar host the two previous World Cups. China could then join the contest.
A first-round winner will be declared if it gets a simple majority, more than 50 percent, of valid votes. Abstentions do not count.
If there is no majority in the first round, but the North American and Morocco bids combine to have more votes than the rejection option, they will advance to a second round where a simple majority wins.
In the ballot paper wording published Monday by FIFA, the word "America" is not used. It is the "joint bid submitted by the CSA, FEMEXFUT and the USSF ('United Bid')."
Voting will be quick and electronic, and FIFA will publish member federations' picks when the meeting closes.
SCORING THE BIDS
Even getting on the ballot paper is not certain for North America and Morocco, who must be scored highly enough by a FIFA evaluation panel, then formally cleared by FIFA's ruling council at a June 10 meeting in Moscow.
In 2010, the now-discredited FIFA executive committee all but ignored the FIFA-produced technical reports that identified Russia and Qatar as the highest-risk bids among nine candidates.
Now a restyled five-man task force, dominated by FIFA officials, will make inspection visits, then grade and score the bids:
- FIFA's deputy general secretaries: Zvonimir Boban of Croatia and Marco Villiger of Switzerland.
- Chairpersons of FIFA's audit and governance committees: Tomaz Vesel of Slovenia and Mukul Mudgal of India.
- Member of FIFA's committee for organizing competitions: Ilco Gjorgioski of Macedonia.