Less than half of Republican voters think Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin’s decision to resign hurts her chances of winning the GOP presidential nomination in 2012, according to a new Rasmussen Reports poll released Tuesday.
Forty percent of Republican voters said the governor’s decision did not hurt her odds in 2012, while 24 percent think Palin’s move helps her chances of securing her party’s nomination. Twenty-eight percent said it will have no impact.
Conservatives and moderates are split over the governor’s move. Fifty-two percent of self-identified GOP moderates said Palin’s move will hurt her chances in 2012, while only 37 percent of conservatives think she has harmed her chances.
“In general, the higher a Republican voter’s income level and educational achievement, the more likely he or she is to think Palin’s decision to resign will hurt her bid for the GOP nomination,” the polling firm observed in its analysis of the survey.
Despite Palin’s frequent insistence since announcing her resignation last week that she has no fixed political plans, 61 percent of GOP voters think the Alaska Republican is at least somewhat likely to run in 2012, and 23 percent say she is “very likely” to run.
Only 29 percent said it is somewhat unlikely that Palin will run for the White House, with 4 percent of respondents telling the firm that it is “not at all” likely that the Alaskan will pursue the presidency.
The automated national poll of 750 likely GOP voters was conducted July 6, three days after Palin’s announcement.