Six Numbers That Show Why Clinton Is Still the Favorite in 2016

Donald Trump is under-performing with white women and shows a drop in the suburbs

The 2016 general election race is now a virtual tie. The most recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows the Democratic front-runner clinging to a narrow lead in a head-to-head match up with the Republican nominee.

But an analysis of data from the poll shows that Clinton is still the more likely candidate to emerge as the winner when the voting's all over on Nov. 8, 2016.

The advantage for a generic Democratic candidate over a generic Republican is 4 percentage points. And though both parties are unpopular, the Democratic Party is nearly breaking even on favorability, while the GOP is under water.

The poll also shows President Barack Obama's approval rating is at 51 percent, meaning he'll be a powerful surrogate for Clinton after the primary.

Meanwhile, Trump is under-performing with white women by 10 points and showing a nine-point drop in the suburbs, according to the poll. Clinton has a 10-point advantage on the commander-in-chief test.

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