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Treasury yields move lower ahead of final inflation prints before Fed meeting

Traders work on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) floor on September 09, 2024 in New York City. 
Spencer Platt | Getty Images

Treasury yields dipped on Tuesday ahead of the final major inflation prints before the Federal Reserve's September meeting.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury was 5 basis points lower at 3.648%, with the 2-year Treasury yield also down 6 basis points at 3.607%.

Yields and prices move in opposite directions. One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%.

Treasury yields have stabilized after tumbling through last week when a series of labor market releases missed estimates. The data also sent U.S. stocks to their worst week of the year.

Investors are now keenly awaiting August's consumer price index, set to be published Wednesday, to see if headline inflation will ease further from July's 2.9% reading as expected.

That will be followed by the producer price index on Thursday.

Debate has erupted over whether the Fed could opt for a 50-basis-point interest rate cut rather than a 25-basis-point cut during the Sept. 17-18 meeting. Some analysts argue such a move would show the Fed's commitment to supporting jobs growth, as others contend it would be an unnecessary step that could sow market panic.

CME Group's FedWatch Tool currently places markets pricing for a 50-basis-point move at 27%, against 73% for the smaller move.

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